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Papua New Guinea U17 vs New Zealand U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
65' Event
84' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U17 in this OFC Championship U17 2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Papua New Guinea U17
6%
Draws
4%
New Zealand U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea U17 haven't matched New Zealand U17's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Papua New Guinea U17 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • New Zealand U17 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Papua New Guinea U17 Clean Sheet 11%
New Zealand U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U17 New Zealand U17
Matches Played 18 33
Wins 6 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2017 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17
2:1
Jan 17, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Papua New Guinea U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:3
Apr 24, 2013 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17
4:0
Jan 16, 2011 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U17 83 / 100
New Zealand U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U17 New Zealand U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Difficult form: New Zealand U17 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Papua New Guinea U17 scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

New Zealand U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U17 VS New Zealand U17
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U17550029:515
2New Caledonia U17540122:812
3Papua New Guinea U1752129:57
4Fiji U17521210:127
5Samoa U1751047:223
6Cook Islands U1750052:270
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tahiti U17440029:012
2Vanuatu U17430124:39
3Solomon Islands U17420224:66
4Tonga U1741033:323
5American Samoa U1740040:390