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Papua New Guinea U17 vs Vanuatu U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Pukue A.
25' Event
Ngwele D.
45' Event
Pukue A.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U17 2017 game between Papua New Guinea U17 and Vanuatu U17 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Papua New Guinea U17
20%
Draws
40%
Vanuatu U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea U17 haven't matched Vanuatu U17's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Papua New Guinea U17 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Papua New Guinea U17 Clean Sheet 11%
Vanuatu U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U17 Vanuatu U17
Matches Played 18 22
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.28 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2017 OFC Championship U16
Papua New Guinea U17 vs Vanuatu U17
3:3
Apr 17, 2013 OFC Championship U16
Papua New Guinea U17 vs Vanuatu U17
1:1
Jan 8, 2011 OFC Championship U16
Vanuatu U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pukue A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kerobin B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vanuatu U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngwele D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vanva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U17 47 / 100
Vanuatu U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U17 Vanuatu U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Papua New Guinea U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Papua New Guinea U17's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Vanuatu U17 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 22 outings.

Vanuatu U17's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U17 VS Vanuatu U17
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea U17

(Home)
22 Feb
New Zealand U17
2 : 1
Papua New Guinea U17
18 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
2 : 1
Tahiti U17
15 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
3 : 3
Vanuatu U17
12 Feb
New Caledonia U17
3 : 2
Papua New Guinea U17
21 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17
1 : 2
New Caledonia U17
Page 1 of 4

Vanuatu U17

(Away)
22 Jan
New Zealand U17
1 : 0
Vanuatu U17
17 Jan
Vanuatu U17
2 : 1
Cook Islands U17
11 Jan
Tahiti U17
2 : 1
Vanuatu U17
18 Feb
Vanuatu U17
2 : 3
New Caledonia U17
15 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
3 : 3
Vanuatu U17
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia U17 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Papua New Guinea U17 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
3 Tahiti U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Vanuatu U17 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 3 3 0 0 18:1 9
2 Solomon Islands U17 3 1 1 1 14:3 4
3 Fiji U17 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Samoa U17 3 0 0 3 0:26 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2017 (Play Offs)