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Papua New Guinea U17 W vs Cook Islands U17 W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 game between Papua New Guinea U17 W and Cook Islands U17 W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Papua New Guinea U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Papua New Guinea U17 W
39%
Draws
30%
Cook Islands U17 W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Papua New Guinea U17 W come out ahead of Cook Islands U17 W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Papua New Guinea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Cook Islands U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U17 W Cook Islands U17 W
Matches Played 11 6
Wins 6 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 2.13 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2016 OFC Championship U16 Women
Papua New Guinea U17 W vs Cook Islands U17 W
2:1
Apr 11, 2012 OFC Championship U16 Women
Cook Islands U17 W vs Papua New Guinea U17 W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U17 W 30 / 100
Cook Islands U17 W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U17 W Cook Islands U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cook Islands U17 W conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Papua New Guinea U17 W scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Papua New Guinea U17 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U17 W VS Cook Islands U17 W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.83
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea U17 W

(Home)
24 Jan
New Zealand U17 W
8 : 0
Papua New Guinea U17 W
22 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17 W
2 : 1
New Caledonia U17 W
19 Jan
Fiji U17 W
2 : 2
Papua New Guinea U17 W
17 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17 W
2 : 1
Cook Islands U17 W
15 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17 W
7 : 1
Vanuatu U17 W
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Cook Islands U17 W

(Away)
19 Jan
Vanuatu U17 W
1 : 5
Cook Islands U17 W
17 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17 W
2 : 1
Cook Islands U17 W
15 Jan
Cook Islands U17 W
0 : 3
Fiji U17 W
13 Apr
Cook Islands U17 W
3 : 0
New Caledonia U17 W
11 Apr
Cook Islands U17 W
2 : 3
Papua New Guinea U17 W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U17 W330036:09
2New Caledonia U17 W320110:126
3Tonga U17 W31024:193
4Samoa U17 W30031:200
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Papua New Guinea U17 W321011:47
2Fiji U17 W31117:54
3Cook Islands U17 W31026:63
4Vanuatu U17 W31025:143
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)