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Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Mata M. A.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Mata M. A.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Conroy M. J.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U19 2018 game between Papua New Guinea U19 and New Zealand U19 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Papua New Guinea U19
6%
Draws
90%
New Zealand U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U19 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Papua New Guinea U19.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for New Zealand U19.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in OFC Championship U19 2018 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Papua New Guinea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U19 New Zealand U19
Matches Played 18 16
Wins 5 16
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 0
Goals Scored 0.88 4.63
Goals Conceded 3.63 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:10
Sep 19, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19
5:0
Aug 11, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Conroy M. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mata M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.21
Avg xA / game 2.57

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U19 10 / 100
New Zealand U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U19 New Zealand U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea U19 scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

New Zealand U19 let in goals in 13% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 6.33 goals.

Papua New Guinea U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

New Zealand U19 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U19 VS New Zealand U19
0.88 Goals Scored 4.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U19330020:19
2Tahiti U1932019:26
3Papua New Guinea U1931024:103
4Tonga U1930030:200
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Solomon Islands U1933005:29
2New Caledonia U19311111:54
3Fiji U1931114:34
4Vanuatu U1930032:120