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Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Sun, Nov 16, 2025
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Papua New Guinea W host New Caledonia W in the Friendly International Women 2025. Papua New Guinea W go into this one as the clear favorite. Papua New Guinea W have averaged 3.33 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against New Caledonia W's 1.78 scored and 3 conceded. Head-to-head, Papua New Guinea W have won 3 to New Caledonia W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 2.56 vs 0.38, favoring Papua New Guinea W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Papua New Guinea W
15%
Draws
0%
New Caledonia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea W have won more games recently than New Caledonia W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Papua New Guinea W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 20%
New Caledonia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea W New Caledonia W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 20 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 3.33 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.07 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Friendly International Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
1:4
Mar 5, 2026 World Cup Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
0:4
Nov 16, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W
0:0
Nov 23, 2023 Pacific Games Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
2:2
Dec 1, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
New Caledonia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea W New Caledonia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Papua New Guinea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

New Caledonia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

New Caledonia W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea W VS New Caledonia W
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea W

(Home)
26 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
2 : 0
Vanuatu W
20 Sept
New Caledonia W
1 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
17 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0
American Samoa W
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New Caledonia W

(Away)
26 Sept
New Caledonia W
0 : 1
Solomon Islands W
23 Sept
Vanuatu W
5 : 0
New Caledonia W
20 Sept
New Caledonia W
1 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
15 Apr
Indonesia W
4 : 2
New Caledonia W
12 Apr
Thailand W
4 : 0
New Caledonia W
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