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Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Sun, Nov 16, 2025
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Papua New Guinea W host New Caledonia W in the Friendly International Women 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Papua New Guinea W have averaged 2.5 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against New Caledonia W's 0.57 scored and 2.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Papua New Guinea W have won 3 to New Caledonia W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 2.54 vs 0.85, favoring Papua New Guinea W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Papua New Guinea W
6%
Draws
4%
New Caledonia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea W have won more games recently than New Caledonia W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Papua New Guinea W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 20%
New Caledonia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea W New Caledonia W
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 22 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.5 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 World Cup Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
0:4
Nov 16, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W
0:0
Nov 23, 2023 Pacific Games Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
2:2
Dec 1, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W
7:1
Nov 21, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
New Caledonia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea W New Caledonia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea W scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

New Caledonia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Papua New Guinea W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea W VS New Caledonia W
2.5 Goals Scored 0.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea W

(Home)
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0
American Samoa W
08 Mar
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0
Fiji W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
27 Feb
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0
Vanuatu W
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New Caledonia W

(Away)
15 Apr
Indonesia W
4 : 2
New Caledonia W
12 Apr
Thailand W
4 : 0
New Caledonia W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
02 Mar
New Caledonia W
2 : 1
Vanuatu W
27 Feb
Fiji W
5 : 0
New Caledonia W
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