Sport Picks
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
Australia & Oceania
OFC Nations Cup Women 
Match Events
18'
18'
Solosaia L.
42'
42'
Padio R.
44'
44'
Sali M.
AI Match Summary
Solomon Islands W in this OFC Nations Cup Women tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Papua New Guinea W lately — more wins on the board than Solomon Islands W.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Papua New Guinea W taking it.
- Papua New Guinea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Papua New Guinea W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 20%
Solomon Islands W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Papua New Guinea W | Solomon Islands W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 33 |
| Wins | 28 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 3.63 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 20, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
5:0
Jul 19, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
2:3
Feb 7, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
1:1
Jul 9, 2022 Friendly International Women
Solomon Islands W vs Papua New Guinea W
5:0
Jul 8, 2019 Pacific Games Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Papua New Guinea W Compare
Top Goalscorer Padio R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81
Solomon Islands W Compare
Top Goalscorer Solosaia L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arukau M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
Solomon Islands W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Papua New Guinea W Solomon Islands W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Papua New Guinea W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (40 games).
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Solomon Islands W lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Solomon Islands W conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Papua New Guinea W VS Solomon Islands W
3.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Papua New Guinea W
(Home) 15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0 Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 American Samoa W
08 Mar
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 Fiji W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
27 Feb
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0 Vanuatu W
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11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 American Samoa W
08 Mar
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 Fiji W
27 Feb
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0 Vanuatu W
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea W
3 : 0 Fiji W
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0 Solomon Islands W
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Solomon Islands W
(Away) 05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1 Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
New Zealand W
8 : 0 Solomon Islands W
27 Feb
Solomon Islands W
0 : 1 American Samoa W
22 Nov
Solomon Islands W
2 : 4 Vanuatu W
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0 Solomon Islands W
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05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1 Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
New Zealand W
8 : 0 Solomon Islands W
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0 Solomon Islands W
15 Nov
Papua New Guinea U20 W
0 : 2 Solomon Islands W
19 Jul
Papua New Guinea W
2 : 3 Solomon Islands W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Papua New Guinea W2
Fiji W1
Solomon Islands W2
Samoa W1
Final
Papua New Guinea W2
Solomon Islands W3
Fiji W0
Samoa W2
