Sport Picks
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
Australia & Oceania
OFC Nations Cup Women 
Match Events
18'
18'
Solosaia L.
42'
42'
Padio R.
44'
44'
Sali M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Papua New Guinea W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Papua New Guinea W lately — more wins on the board than Solomon Islands W.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Papua New Guinea W taking it.
- Papua New Guinea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Papua New Guinea W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 20%
Solomon Islands W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Papua New Guinea W | Solomon Islands W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 31 |
| Wins | 27 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 3.16 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 20, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
5:0
Jul 19, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
2:3
Feb 7, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
1:1
Jul 9, 2022 Friendly International Women
Solomon Islands W vs Papua New Guinea W
5:0
Jul 8, 2019 Pacific Games Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Solomon Islands W
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Papua New Guinea W Compare
Top Goalscorer Padio R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Solomon Islands W Compare
Top Goalscorer Solosaia L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arukau M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
Solomon Islands W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Papua New Guinea W Solomon Islands W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Papua New Guinea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Papua New Guinea W found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (37 games).
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Solomon Islands W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: Papua New Guinea W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Papua New Guinea W VS Solomon Islands W
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Papua New Guinea W
(Home) 26 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
2 : 0 Vanuatu W
20 Sept
New Caledonia W
1 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
17 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0 Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 American Samoa W
Page 1 of 8
26 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
2 : 0 Vanuatu W
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 American Samoa W
08 Mar
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 Fiji W
27 Feb
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0 Vanuatu W
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea W
3 : 0 Fiji W
Page 1 of 5
Solomon Islands W
(Away) 26 Sept
New Caledonia W
0 : 1 Solomon Islands W
23 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1 Solomon Islands W
17 Sept
Solomon Islands W
1 : 1 Vanuatu W
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1 Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
New Zealand W
8 : 0 Solomon Islands W
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
New Caledonia W
0 : 1 Solomon Islands W
23 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1 Solomon Islands W
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1 Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
New Zealand W
8 : 0 Solomon Islands W
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0 Solomon Islands W
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Papua New Guinea W 2
Fiji W 1
Solomon Islands W 2
Samoa W 1
Final
Papua New Guinea W 2
Solomon Islands W 3
Fiji W 0
Samoa W 2
