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Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Padio R.
6' Event
Gere A.
Own Goal
17' Event
Butubu M.

AI Match Summary

Papua New Guinea W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Papua New Guinea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Papua New Guinea W
6%
Draws
4%
Vanuatu W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vanuatu W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Papua New Guinea W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 20%
Vanuatu W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea W Vanuatu W
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 19 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 3.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 World Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W
5:0
Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W
4:0
Jul 14, 2022 OFC Nations Cup Women
Vanuatu W vs Papua New Guinea W
1:3
Jul 15, 2019 Pacific Games Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Padio R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Butubu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Vanuatu W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
Vanuatu W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea W Vanuatu W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Vanuatu W let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Papua New Guinea W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vanuatu W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea W VS Vanuatu W
3.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%