Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Papuk Orahovica vs Podravina Ludbreg

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Podravina Ludbreg in this 3. HNL North matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Podravina Ludbreg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Papuk Orahovica
6%
Draws
90%
Podravina Ludbreg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Podravina Ludbreg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Podravina Ludbreg average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Papuk Orahovica's 0.5.
  • Podravina Ludbreg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Papuk Orahovica Clean Sheet 12%
Podravina Ludbreg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papuk Orahovica Podravina Ludbreg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL North
Papuk Orahovica vs Podravina Ludbreg
0:1
Oct 23, 2021 3. HNL North
Podravina Ludbreg vs Papuk Orahovica
2:2
May 29, 2021 3. HNL North
Podravina Ludbreg vs Papuk Orahovica
1:0
May 1, 2021 3. HNL North
Podravina Ludbreg vs Papuk Orahovica
2:3
Oct 24, 2020 3. HNL North
Papuk Orahovica vs Podravina Ludbreg
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papuk Orahovica 10 / 100
Podravina Ludbreg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papuk Orahovica Podravina Ludbreg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Podravina Ludbreg conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Podravina Ludbreg's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Papuk Orahovica scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Papuk Orahovica VS Podravina Ludbreg
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1NK Polet22170561:1751
2Mladost Zdralovi22155245:1550
3Bjelovar22143553:2645
4Radnik Krizevci22142657:2544
5Medjimurje22123740:3339
6Podravina Ludbreg2287735:4131
7Papuk Orahovica22741132:4325
8Varteks Varazdin (2011)22641220:3922
9NK Koprivnica22381124:4317
10Virovitica22521525:5217
11Podravac Virje22441423:5016
12Rudar Mursko Sredisce22441425:5616