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Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL North matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Papuk Orahovica
6%
Draws
90%
Virovitica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Virovitica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Papuk Orahovica have won more games recently than Virovitica.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Virovitica taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Papuk Orahovica Clean Sheet 10%
Virovitica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papuk Orahovica Virovitica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL North
Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica
1:1
Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL North
Virovitica vs Papuk Orahovica
5:0
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL North
Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica
2:0
Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL North
Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica
2:1
Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL North
Virovitica vs Papuk Orahovica
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papuk Orahovica 10 / 100
Virovitica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papuk Orahovica Virovitica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virovitica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Papuk Orahovica found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Virovitica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Papuk Orahovica VS Virovitica
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%