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Para vs FK Beograd

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Cass & Co Stadium (Paddocks), Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Boselli L.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Falco M.
46' Event
Boselli L.

AI Match Summary

FK Beograd in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Beograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Para
15%
Draws
85%
FK Beograd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Para haven't matched FK Beograd's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Beograd a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Para Clean Sheet 10%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Para FK Beograd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 1 1.73
Goals Conceded 4.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL South Australia
Para vs FK Beograd
1:5
Mar 13, 2026 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Para
5:0
Aug 9, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Para
2:3
May 17, 2025 NPL South Australia
Para vs FK Beograd
2:4
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
FK Beograd vs Para
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Para Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FK Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Falco M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boselli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Para 10 / 100
FK Beograd 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Para FK Beograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Beograd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Para's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FK Beograd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: FK Beograd registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Para VS FK Beograd
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
5.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Para

(Home)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
Para
2 : 4
Playford Patriots
17 Jul
West Torrens Birkalla
11 : 0
Para
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FK Beograd

(Away)
22 Aug
Playford Patriots
3 : 0
FK Beograd
15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3
Adelaide City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)