Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Samuel Costa
62'
62'
Pinto L.
AI Match Summary
The Mineiro 3 2024 game between Paracatu and Essube finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paracatu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Paracatu come out ahead of Essube on wins alone.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Paracatu taking it.
- Regular Mineiro 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 20%
Essube Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paracatu | Essube |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 20 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2025 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Paracatu
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Essube
1:1
Oct 7, 2024 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Essube
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Paracatu
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paracatu Compare
Top Goalscorer Samuel Costa
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Essube Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinto L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paracatu 85 / 100
Essube 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paracatu Essube
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paracatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Essube conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.
Essube lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Paracatu found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Paracatu VS Essube
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Paracatu
(Home) 22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0 Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2 Paracatu
08 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1 Paracatu
01 Nov
Paracatu
1 : 1 Boa
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2 Paracatu
Page 1 of 6
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0 Novo Esporte
01 Nov
Paracatu
1 : 1 Boa
11 Oct
Paracatu
1 : 1 Essube
20 Sept
Paracatu
2 : 1 Passos
13 Sept
Paracatu
0 : 4 Boa
Page 1 of 3
Essube
(Away) 22 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 0 Essube
15 Nov
Essube
1 : 3 Boa
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0 Essube
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0 Essube
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2 Paracatu
Page 1 of 4
22 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 0 Essube
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0 Essube
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0 Essube
11 Oct
Paracatu
1 : 1 Essube
13 Sept
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 0 Essube
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Contagem | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 3 | America TO | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Boston City | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:18 | 5 |
| 5 | Social | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani-MG | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Tupynambas | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Inter de Minas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 15 |
| 4 | Villa Real | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 5 | Pocos de Caldas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 6 | Tres Coracoes | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5:32 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Essube | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Uberaba | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:11 | 16 |
| 3 | Paracatu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Nacional Uberaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 5 | Araguari | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1:33 | 0 |
| 6 | Araxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
