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Parachique vs AD Tarma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Portocarrero J.
45' Event
Calderon W.
58' Event
Davila N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with AD Tarma advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Parachique
15%
Draws
42%
AD Tarma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parachique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Tarma come out ahead of Parachique on wins alone.
  • Model gives Parachique a 43% chance of winning this.
  • AD Tarma arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AD Tarma, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Parachique Clean Sheet 20%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parachique AD Tarma
Matches Played 7 33
Wins 1 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2021 Copa Peru
Parachique vs AD Tarma
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parachique Compare

Top Goalscorer Inga C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saune J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

AD Tarma Compare

Top Goalscorer Portocarrero J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calderon W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parachique 40 / 100
AD Tarma 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parachique AD Tarma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parachique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parachique scored in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: AD Tarma conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Away concern: AD Tarma has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Tarma
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parachique

(Home)
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Union San Martin
4 : 1
Parachique
10 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Deportivo Maristas
07 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 1
Parachique
03 Nov
Parachique
3 : 4
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 2

AD Tarma

(Away)
01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Tarma 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 Credicoop San Cristobal 7 3 4 0 13:6 13
3 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 7 3 4 0 13:7 13
4 Los Caimanes 7 2 4 1 7:8 10
5 Deportivo Maristas 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
6 Union San Martin 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
7 Parachique 7 1 2 4 11:16 5
8 Estrella Azul 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)