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Paradiso vs Bavois

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Alvarez A.
73' Event
Benacquista L.
83' Event
D'Agostino G.

AI Match Summary

Paradiso in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paradiso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paradiso
40%
Draws
29%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bavois have won more games recently than Paradiso.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Paradiso Clean Sheet 16%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paradiso Bavois
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Bavois
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Paradiso
3:2
Mar 15, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Paradiso
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Bavois
1:0
May 18, 2024 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Bavois
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paradiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Benacquista L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Agostino G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paradiso 31 / 100
Bavois 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paradiso Bavois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paradiso scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Bavois has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Paradiso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paradiso VS Bavois
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Paradiso

(Home)
30 May
Vevey
0 : 2
Paradiso
23 May
Paradiso
4 : 0
Breitenrain
16 May
Kriens
4 : 0
Paradiso
09 May
Paradiso
0 : 2
Cham
02 May
FC Kreuzlingen
0 : 0
Paradiso
Page 1 of 6

Bavois

(Away)
18 Jul
Bavois
1 : 0
Meyrin
15 Jul
Bavois
2 : 1
Chenois
11 Jul
Bavois
3 : 2
Portalban
30 May
Kriens
2 : 1
Bavois
23 May
Bavois
3 : 2
Cham
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)