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Paradiso vs Cham

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tia E.
72' Event
Pasquarelli M.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Paradiso and Cham finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Paradiso
39%
Draws
31%
Cham
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cham come out ahead of Paradiso on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Paradiso Clean Sheet 14%
Cham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paradiso Cham
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Cham
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Promotion League
Cham vs Paradiso
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Cham
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Promotion League
Cham vs Paradiso
0:0
May 25, 2024 Promotion League
Cham vs Paradiso
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paradiso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Tia E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasquarelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paradiso 30 / 100
Cham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paradiso Cham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Paradiso found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Paradiso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Cham registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paradiso VS Cham
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132