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Paradiso vs Cham

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tia E.
72' Event
Pasquarelli M.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Paradiso and Cham finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Paradiso
20%
Draws
47%
Cham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cham come out ahead of Paradiso on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Paradiso Clean Sheet 10%
Cham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paradiso Cham
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Promotion League
Cham vs Paradiso
0:2
May 9, 2026 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Cham
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Promotion League
Cham vs Paradiso
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Cham
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Promotion League
Cham vs Paradiso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paradiso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Tia E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasquarelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paradiso 29 / 100
Cham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paradiso Cham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paradiso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Paradiso found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Paradiso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Paradiso VS Cham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paradiso

(Home)
29 Aug
Grand-Saconnex
2 : 5
Paradiso
22 Aug
Paradiso
1 : 1
FC Kreuzlingen
15 Aug
Paradiso
1 : 2
Breitenrain
08 Aug
Cham
0 : 2
Paradiso
02 Aug
Paradiso
1 : 2
Schaffhausen
Page 1 of 6

Cham

(Away)
29 Aug
Cham
1 : 1
Bellinzona
22 Aug
Cham
2 : 1
Grand-Saconnex
19 Aug
FC Kreuzlingen
1 : 2
Cham
16 Aug
Cham
2 : 0
Kriens
08 Aug
Cham
0 : 2
Paradiso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)