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Paradiso vs Lugano II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Pihlstrom E.
73' Event
Carpani A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paradiso
6%
Draws
4%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paradiso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paradiso has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lugano II.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Paradiso.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Promotion League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Paradiso Clean Sheet 20%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paradiso Lugano II
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Lugano II
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Paradiso
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Paradiso
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Lugano II
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Lugano II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paradiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Carpani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Pihlstrom E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paradiso 85 / 100
Lugano II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paradiso Lugano II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paradiso scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Lugano II let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Paradiso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lugano II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paradiso VS Lugano II
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132