Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paradou vs Constantine

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August 1955 Stadium, Algiers
Paradou Logo

Paradou

5 - 3
FT
Constantine Logo

Constantine

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Soukkou M.
30' Event
Ramdaoui M.
31'
Ramdaoui M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Paradou and Constantine finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paradou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Paradou
20%
Draws
36%
Constantine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paradou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Constantine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Paradou Clean Sheet 12%
Constantine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paradou Constantine
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Paradou vs Constantine
5:3
Dec 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Constantine vs Paradou
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Paradou vs Constantine
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Constantine vs Paradou
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Constantine vs Paradou
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paradou Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramdaoui M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Soukkou M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Constantine Compare

Top Goalscorer Omoyele T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader L'Ghoul N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paradou 35 / 100
Constantine 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paradou Constantine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constantine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Paradou scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Constantine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Paradou went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paradou VS Constantine
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paradou

(Home)
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
22 May
USM Alger
4 : 2
Paradou
19 May
Rouisset
2 : 1
Paradou
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
17 Apr
El Bayadh
0 : 1
Paradou
Page 1 of 6

Constantine

(Away)
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 1
Constantine
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)