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Paraense SC vs Belenense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
Paraense SC Logo

Paraense SC

1 - 0
FT
Belenense Logo

Belenense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 2025 game between Paraense SC and Belenense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraense SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Paraense SC
20%
Draws
57%
Belenense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraense SC haven't matched Belenense's recent run of results.
  • Belenense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Paraense SC Clean Sheet 10%
Belenense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraense SC Belenense
Matches Played 10 17
Wins 4 9
Draws 1 1
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Paraense A3
Belenense vs Paraense SC
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Paraense A3
Paraense SC vs Belenense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraense SC 18 / 100
Belenense 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraense SC Belenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belenense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belenense let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Paraense SC scored in 50% of their last 10 outings.

Recent resilience: Paraense SC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraense SC VS Belenense
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraense SC

(Home)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
06 Nov
Santos PA
3 : 0
Paraense SC
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Belenense

(Away)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)