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Paraense SC vs Pinheirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paraense A3
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense A3 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Paraense SC
30%
Draws
47%
Pinheirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinheirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraense SC haven't matched Pinheirense's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Pinheirense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Paraense SC Clean Sheet 20%
Pinheirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraense SC Pinheirense
Matches Played 10 26
Wins 4 5
Draws 1 10
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Paraense A3
Pinheirense vs Paraense SC
1:0
Sep 5, 2026 Paraense A3
Paraense SC vs Pinheirense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraense SC 28 / 100
Pinheirense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraense SC Pinheirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinheirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinheirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

Paraense SC found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (10 games).

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Paraense SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraense SC VS Pinheirense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraense SC

(Home)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
06 Nov
Santos PA
3 : 0
Paraense SC
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Pinheirense

(Away)
03 Oct
Pinheirense
2 : 0
Venus
27 Sept
Venus
2 : 1
Pinheirense
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)