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Paraense SC vs Santos PA

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Paraense SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paraense SC
30%
Draws
39%
Santos PA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos PA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Paraense SC haven't matched Santos PA's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Paraense SC a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Santos PA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paraense SC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Paraense SC Clean Sheet 16%
Santos PA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraense SC Santos PA
Matches Played 10 21
Wins 4 5
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 Paraense A3
Santos PA vs Paraense SC
3:0
Nov 3, 2025 Paraense A3
Paraense SC vs Santos PA
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraense SC 39 / 100
Santos PA 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraense SC Santos PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraense SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Santos PA conceded in 76% of 21 recent games.

Paraense SC found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (10 games).

Paraense SC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paraense SC VS Santos PA
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraense SC

(Home)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
06 Nov
Santos PA
3 : 0
Paraense SC
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Santos PA

(Away)
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Gaviao 2
Sport Belem 1
Tesla 1
Atletico Paraense 12
Paraense SC 3
Santos PA 4
Venus 2
Belenense 3
Semi-finals
Gaviao 2
Atletico Paraense 5
Santos PA 5
Belenense 4
Final
Atletico Paraense 1
Santos PA 0