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Paragominas vs Gaviao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paraense 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Serra A.
60' Event
Deylon

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Paraense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Paragominas
20%
Draws
47%
Gaviao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaviao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Paragominas have won more games recently than Gaviao.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Paraense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 20%
Gaviao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paragominas Gaviao
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 11 6
Draws 13 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Paraense
Paragominas vs Gaviao
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paragominas Compare

Top Goalscorer Deylon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gaviao Compare

Top Goalscorer Serra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paragominas 32 / 100
Gaviao 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paragominas Gaviao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paragominas scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Gaviao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Paragominas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paragominas VS Gaviao
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paragominas

(Home)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
Page 1 of 7

Gaviao

(Away)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 8 6 1 1 12:6 19
2 Itupiranga 8 3 2 3 4:5 11
3 Bragantino PA 8 1 5 2 15:16 8
4 Gaviao 8 0 3 5 8:21 3
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 6 2 0 18:9 20
2 Tuna Luso 8 3 3 2 20:13 12
3 Marajo 8 1 4 3 7:9 7
4 Carajas 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 8 3 4 1 10:6 13
2 Castanhal 8 2 5 1 11:9 11
3 Aguia De Maraba 8 1 5 2 6:7 8
4 Paragominas 8 1 4 3 10:14 7
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams