Sport Picks

Paragominas vs Guarany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Serie D 2021

Paragominas

2 - 1

Guarany

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Kaikinha

64'

Kaikinha

82'

Rai

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2021 game between Paragominas and Guarany finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paragominas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Paragominas

20%

Draws

29%

Guarany

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paragominas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Paragominas come out ahead of Guarany on wins alone.
Win probability leans Paragominas's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Serie D 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Paragominas Clean Sheet 68%

Guarany Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paragominas	Guarany
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	13	6
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1.39	1.1
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2021 Serie D

Paragominas vs Guarany

2:1

Jun 5, 2021 Serie D

Guarany vs Paragominas

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paragominas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaikinha

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.99

Avg xA / game 0.65

Guarany Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paragominas 50 / 100

Guarany 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paragominas Guarany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paragominas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paragominas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Guarany conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Paragominas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paragominas VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paragominas

(Home)

13 Jun

Urumajo

1 : 0

Paragominas

07 Jun

Paragominas

2 : 2

Urumajo

03 Jun

Caete

0 : 2

Paragominas

30 May

Paragominas

2 : 0

Caete

17 May

Urumajo

1 : 0

Paragominas

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Guarany

(Away)

03 Oct

Guarany

0 : 2

Campinense

25 Sept

Campinense

2 : 1

Guarany

20 Sept

Guarany

2 : 0

Galvez

13 Sept

Galvez

0 : 0

Guarany

04 Sept

Paragominas

2 : 1

Guarany

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