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Paraguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Championship Women U17 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Carter Galloso N. A.
83' Event
Martinez Ovando C.
Assist: Olmedo B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this South American Championship Women U17 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Paraguay U17 W
15%
Draws
49%
Chile U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraguay U17 W haven't matched Chile U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chile U17 W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship Women U17 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Paraguay U17 W Clean Sheet 15%
Chile U17 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U17 W Chile U17 W
Matches Played 39 35
Wins 17 18
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.97 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 South American Championship Women U17
Chile U17 W vs Paraguay U17 W
2:0
May 15, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Paraguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W
1:1
May 4, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Paraguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W
2:2
Mar 21, 2024 South American Championship Women U17
Paraguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Friendly International Women
Paraguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Ovando C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Chile U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carter Galloso N. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U17 W 27 / 100
Chile U17 W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U17 W Chile U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U17 W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Chile U17 W has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Chile U17 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U17 W VS Chile U17 W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U17 W

(Home)
03 May
Paraguay U17 W
0 : 3
Colombia U17 W
30 Apr
Chile U17 W
2 : 0
Paraguay U17 W
26 Apr
Bolivia U17 W
0 : 1
Paraguay U17 W
24 Apr
Paraguay U17 W
0 : 2
Argentina U17 W
29 Oct
Mexico U17 W
1 : 0
Paraguay U17 W
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Chile U17 W

(Away)
17 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 0
Chile U17 W
14 Aug
Chile U17 W
0 : 3
Canada U17 W
09 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
06 May
Brazil U17 W
3 : 2
Chile U17 W
03 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 2
Argentina U17 W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraguay U17 W 5 3 2 0 11:3 11
2 Brazil U17 W 5 2 3 0 8:3 9
3 Ecuador U17 W 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
4 Colombia U17 W 5 2 1 2 4:2 7
5 Chile U17 W 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
6 Peru U17 W 5 0 0 5 2:21 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Main)