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Paraguay U20 W vs Chile U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Games Women U20
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Mardones G.
Assist: Cabezas P.
47' Event
Villalba P.
Assist: Mussi Aquino M. Z.
56' Event
Alvarez A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The South American Games Women U20 game between Paraguay U20 W and Chile U20 W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chile U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Paraguay U20 W
15%
Draws
68%
Chile U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Chile U20 W's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Paraguay U20 W have produced (1.26).
  • Chile U20 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular South American Games Women U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paraguay U20 W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Paraguay U20 W Clean Sheet 11%
Chile U20 W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U20 W Chile U20 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 South American Games Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Chile U20 W
2:3
Feb 4, 2026 South American Championship Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Chile U20 W
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Friendly International Women
Paraguay U20 W vs Chile U20 W
4:1
Dec 18, 2025 Friendly International Women
Paraguay U20 W vs Chile U20 W
3:0
Oct 9, 2022 South American Games Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Chile U20 W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalba P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paiva L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Chile U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mardones G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pardo V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U20 W 10 / 100
Chile U20 W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U20 W Chile U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Paraguay U20 W scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Chile U20 W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Paraguay U20 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U20 W VS Chile U20 W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U20 W

(Home)
23 Sept
Paraguay U20 W
1 : 2
Uruguay U20 W
21 Sept
Paraguay U20 W
2 : 3
Chile U20 W
18 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
0 : 1
Paraguay U20 W
16 Sept
Venezuela U20 W
2 : 0
Paraguay U20 W
28 Feb
Ecuador U20 W
5 : 1
Paraguay U20 W
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Chile U20 W

(Away)
23 Sept
Chile U20 W
1 : 2
Venezuela U20 W
21 Sept
Paraguay U20 W
2 : 3
Chile U20 W
18 Sept
Venezuela U20 W
0 : 3
Chile U20 W
16 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
1 : 3
Chile U20 W
10 Sept
Chile U20 W
2 : 1
Uruguay U20 W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chile U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Venezuela U20 W 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Paraguay U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Uruguay U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - South American Games Women U20 (Play Offs)