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Paraguay U23 vs Ecuador U23

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Paraguay U23 and Ecuador U23 finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ecuador U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Paraguay U23
20%
Draws
70%
Ecuador U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ecuador U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paraguay U23 come out ahead of Ecuador U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ecuador U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paraguay U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Ecuador U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U23 Ecuador U23
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2023 Friendly International
Paraguay U23 vs Ecuador U23
1:0
Dec 11, 2023 Friendly International
Paraguay U23 vs Ecuador U23
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U23 10 / 100
Ecuador U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U23 Ecuador U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Ecuador U23 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Paraguay U23 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U23 VS Ecuador U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
04 Jul
France U23
4 : 1
Paraguay U23
10 Jun
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Paraguay U23
08 Jun
Argentina U23
4 : 0
Paraguay U23
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Ecuador U23

(Away)
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Ecuador U23
1 : 1
Venezuela U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
17 Dec
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Ecuador U23
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