Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paraiso EC vs Tocantins

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
Paraiso EC Logo

Paraiso EC

3 - 2
FT
Tocantins Logo

Tocantins

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paraiso EC in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraiso EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paraiso EC
20%
Draws
40%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tocantins have won more games recently than Paraiso EC.
  • Win probability leans Tocantins's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 16%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC Tocantins
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 0.62 0.66
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:3
Jun 15, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
1:1
Jun 11, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
0:0
May 10, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
1:2
Apr 17, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 28 / 100
Tocantins 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantins Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantins has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Tocantins has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Paraiso EC's goal record stands at 34% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS Tocantins
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraiso EC

(Home)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
2 Interporto 14 6 5 3 25:23 23
3 Palmas 14 7 1 6 23:17 22
4 Gurupi 14 6 3 5 19:15 21
5 Paraiso EC 14 5 5 4 19:16 20
6 Araguaina 14 5 3 6 18:21 18
7 Tocantins 14 4 2 8 23:33 14
8 Guarai SC 14 3 2 9 20:29 11
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 (Play Offs)