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Paraiso EC vs Tocantins

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2012 game between Paraiso EC and Tocantins finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tocantins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Paraiso EC
30%
Draws
23%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paraiso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tocantins carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paraiso EC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 16%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC Tocantins
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 0.55 0.68
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:3
Jun 15, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
1:1
Jun 11, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
0:0
May 10, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
1:2
Apr 17, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 39 / 100
Tocantins 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraiso EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantins let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Tocantins's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Paraiso EC scored in 32% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS Tocantins
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraiso EC

(Home)
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
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Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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