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Paralimni vs AEL Limassol

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Paralimni Stadium
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Match Events

12'
Katsiaris A.
21'
Charalampous M.
35' Event
Maseko T.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League game between Paralimni and AEL Limassol finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEL Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Paralimni
33%
Draws
40%
AEL Limassol
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • AEL Limassol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AEL Limassol's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AEL Limassol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Paralimni Clean Sheet 10%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paralimni AEL Limassol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Paralimni
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Cyprus League
Paralimni vs AEL Limassol
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Paralimni
3:0
Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly
AEL Limassol vs Paralimni
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Paralimni
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paralimni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

AEL Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Maseko T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paroutis D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paralimni 26 / 100
AEL Limassol 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paralimni AEL Limassol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Limassol let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

AEL Limassol lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Paralimni found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Paralimni VS AEL Limassol
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omonia26194363:1761
2AEK Larnaca26165549:2253
3Apollon Limassol26165536:2253
4Pafos26163753:2451
5APOEL26136745:2745
6Aris Limassol26127748:2643
7Omonia Aradippou261041223:3134
8AEL Limassol261031331:3833
9Anorthosis26711823:3332
10Krasava26841426:3628
11Ol. Nicosia266101022:3728
12Akritas Chloraka26751423:4826
13Achnas26721725:4423
14Paralimni2601255:671