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Parana vs FC Cascavel Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Parana Estádio Durival Britto e Silva, Curitiba
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Parana
30%
Draws
19%
FC Cascavel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parana lately — more wins on the board than FC Cascavel.
  • Parana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Parana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Parana, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Parana Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cascavel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parana FC Cascavel
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Copa Parana
Parana vs FC Cascavel
2:1
Jan 29, 2025 Paranaense
Parana vs FC Cascavel
0:0
Jul 30, 2022 Serie D
Parana vs FC Cascavel
1:0
Jul 23, 2022 Serie D
FC Cascavel vs Parana
0:0
Feb 10, 2022 Paranaense
FC Cascavel vs Parana
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parana 95 / 100
FC Cascavel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parana FC Cascavel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parana has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Parana found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Cascavel let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

FC Cascavel lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parana VS FC Cascavel
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parana

(Home)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
21 Sept
Londrina B
2 : 2
Parana
13 Sept
Azuriz
0 : 0
Parana
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
29 Aug
Athletico-PR B
1 : 2
Parana
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FC Cascavel

(Away)
26 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 4
FC Cascavel
20 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
FC Cascavel
12 Sept
FC Cascavel
2 : 3
Athletico-PR B
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
29 Aug
FC Cascavel
1 : 3
Foz do Iguacu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
2 Athletico-PR B 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
3 Foz do Iguacu 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
4 Paranavai-PR 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
5 Azuriz 5 2 1 2 3:2 7
6 Londrina B 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
7 FC Cascavel 5 1 1 3 9:10 4
8 Sao Joseense 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)