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Parana vs Paranavai-PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 Estádio Durival Britto e Silva, Curitiba
Parana Logo

Parana

1 - 0
FT
Paranavai-PR Logo

Paranavai-PR

Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Thiago Dombroski
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Parana in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Parana
35%
Draws
27%
Paranavai-PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Parana have won more games recently than Paranavai-PR.
  • Model gives Parana a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Parana Clean Sheet 68%
Paranavai-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parana Paranavai-PR
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.73 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Parana
Parana vs Paranavai-PR
3:0
Jun 6, 2026 Paranaense 2
Parana vs Paranavai-PR
0:1
May 30, 2026 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Parana
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Paranaense 2
Parana vs Paranavai-PR
1:0
Jun 30, 2024 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Parana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parana Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Dombroski
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Paranavai-PR Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parana 68 / 100
Paranavai-PR 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parana Paranavai-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Parana remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Parana scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Paranavai-PR has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Parana VS Paranavai-PR
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parana

(Home)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
21 Sept
Londrina B
2 : 2
Parana
13 Sept
Azuriz
0 : 0
Parana
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
29 Aug
Athletico-PR B
1 : 2
Parana
Page 1 of 6

Paranavai-PR

(Away)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
20 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
FC Cascavel
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Athletico-PR B
0 : 3
Paranavai-PR
02 Sept
Londrina B
0 : 0
Paranavai-PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)