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Paranavai-PR vs Araucaria

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Huadson
60' Event
Gabriel Silva
67' Event
Rodrigues L.

AI Match Summary

Araucaria in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araucaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paranavai-PR
33%
Draws
27%
Araucaria
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Paranavai-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paranavai-PR lately — more wins on the board than Araucaria.
  • Model gives Paranavai-PR a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Paranavai-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Araucaria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranavai-PR Araucaria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Araucaria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paranavai-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Araucaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Huadson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranavai-PR 40 / 100
Araucaria 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranavai-PR Araucaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paranavai-PR scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Araucaria has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Paranavai-PR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paranavai-PR VS Araucaria
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranavai-PR

(Home)
06 Jun
Parana
0 : 1
Paranavai-PR
30 May
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
Parana
24 May
Patriotas
0 : 2
Paranavai-PR
16 May
Paranavai-PR
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 May
Laranja Mecanica
1 : 2
Paranavai-PR
Page 1 of 6

Araucaria

(Away)
23 May
Parana
2 : 1
Araucaria
17 May
Araucaria
0 : 2
Parana
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Batel
0 : 1
Araucaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Parana972014:323
2Patriotas961216:919
3Laranja Mecanica94237:914
4Araucaria933313:1412
5Rio Branco PR925216:1411
6Paranavai-PR931510:1110
7Nacional PR92439:1210
8Toledo92436:1010
9Batel923410:109
10Prudentopolis91174:134
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)