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Paranavai-PR vs Nacional PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cirilo
45' Event
Gonzaga W.
57' Event
Miguel Silva

AI Match Summary

Paranavai-PR in this Paranaense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paranavai-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Paranavai-PR
35%
Draws
20%
Nacional PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paranavai-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional PR haven't matched Paranavai-PR's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Paranavai-PR a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Paranavai-PR have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Paranavai-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranavai-PR Nacional PR
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Paranaense 2
Nacional PR vs Paranavai-PR
1:4
May 24, 2025 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Nacional PR
3:0
Jun 2, 2024 Paranaense 2
Nacional PR vs Paranavai-PR
0:1
Apr 7, 2013 Paranaense
Paranavai-PR vs Nacional PR
2:0
Feb 13, 2013 Paranaense
Nacional PR vs Paranavai-PR
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paranavai-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Cirilo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzaga W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Nacional PR Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranavai-PR 85 / 100
Nacional PR 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranavai-PR Nacional PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paranavai-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Paranavai-PR went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Paranavai-PR's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nacional PR conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Paranavai-PR VS Nacional PR
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranavai-PR

(Home)
20 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
FC Cascavel
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Athletico-PR B
0 : 3
Paranavai-PR
02 Sept
Londrina B
0 : 0
Paranavai-PR
06 Jun
Parana
0 : 1
Paranavai-PR
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Nacional PR

(Away)
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 1
Nacional PR
18 Apr
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Batel
12 Apr
Nacional PR
1 : 4
Paranavai-PR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galo Maringa 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Paranavai-PR 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
3 Foz do Iguacu 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Patriotas 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
5 Nacional PR 9 3 2 4 9:12 11
6 Batel 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
7 Laranja Mecanica 9 2 4 3 5:9 10
8 Toledo 9 2 3 4 6:13 9
9 AA Iguacu 9 1 3 5 10:14 6
10 Parana S.T.C. 9 1 3 5 7:12 6
Promotion - Paranaense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 (Main)