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Paranavai-PR vs Toledo

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR Logo

Paranavai-PR

0 - 1
FT
Toledo Logo

Toledo

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Agnael
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toledo in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Paranavai-PR
30%
Draws
23%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paranavai-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paranavai-PR lately — more wins on the board than Toledo.
  • Win probability leans Paranavai-PR's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Paranavai-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Toledo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranavai-PR Toledo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.36 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Toledo
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Paranaense 2
Paranavai-PR vs Toledo
2:0
Mar 24, 2013 Paranaense
Toledo vs Paranavai-PR
0:0
Feb 3, 2013 Paranaense
Paranavai-PR vs Toledo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paranavai-PR Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Agnael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranavai-PR 95 / 100
Toledo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranavai-PR Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paranavai-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paranavai-PR found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Toledo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Paranavai-PR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paranavai-PR VS Toledo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranavai-PR

(Home)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
20 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
FC Cascavel
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Athletico-PR B
0 : 3
Paranavai-PR
02 Sept
Londrina B
0 : 0
Paranavai-PR
Page 1 of 7

Toledo

(Away)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)