Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paranoa U20 vs Ceilandia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paranoa U20 in this Brasiliense U20 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paranoa U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Paranoa U20
20%
Draws
36%
Ceilandia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paranoa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Paranoa U20 have won more games recently than Ceilandia U20.
  • Model gives Paranoa U20 a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Paranoa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ceilandia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranoa U20 Ceilandia U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.43 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.73 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Paranoa U20 vs Ceilandia U20
4:3
Jun 1, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandia U20 vs Paranoa U20
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranoa U20 65 / 100
Ceilandia U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranoa U20 Ceilandia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paranoa U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandia U20 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Paranoa U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Paranoa U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paranoa U20 VS Ceilandia U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 5.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranoa U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Paranoa U20
2 : 0
Cruzeiro DF U20
11 Jul
Canaa U20
7 : 0
Paranoa U20
04 Jul
Paranoa U20
0 : 4
Real Brasilia U20
28 Jun
Luziania U20
0 : 2
Paranoa U20
20 Jun
Planaltina U20
3 : 2
Paranoa U20
Page 1 of 6

Ceilandia U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandia U20
5 : 0
Luziania U20
28 Jun
Santa Maria U20
2 : 2
Ceilandia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandia U20
1 : 6
Canaa U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 10 9 1 0 45:4 28
2 Capital DF U20 10 8 1 1 54:11 25
3 Samambaia U20 10 6 3 1 28:7 21
4 Sobradinho U20 10 6 2 2 40:5 20
5 Legiao U20 10 6 1 3 18:13 19
6 Candango U20 10 3 1 6 17:30 10
7 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 10 3 1 6 15:30 10
8 Gama U20 10 2 3 5 21:23 9
9 Brazlandia U20 10 2 2 6 14:31 8
10 Samambaense U20 10 2 0 8 5:46 6
11 ARUC U20 10 0 1 9 3:60 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 10 10 0 0 48:6 30
2 Real Brasilia U20 10 9 0 1 48:5 27
3 Planaltina U20 10 7 1 2 30:9 22
4 Santa Maria U20 10 5 2 3 26:18 17
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 5 0 5 20:26 15
6 Brasilia U20 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
7 Paranoa U20 10 3 1 6 13:28 10
8 Ceilandia U20 10 2 2 6 21:38 8
9 Ceilandense U20 10 1 4 5 6:25 7
10 Cruzeiro DF U20 10 1 3 6 11:27 6
11 Luziania U20 10 0 2 8 5:43 2
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)