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Paranoa vs ARUC

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek (JK), Paranoá
Paranoa Logo

Paranoa

0 - 1
FT
ARUC Logo

ARUC

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Everton
53'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ARUC in this Brasiliense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ARUC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Paranoa
15%
Draws
0%
ARUC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paranoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Paranoa have won more games recently than ARUC.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 10%
ARUC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranoa ARUC
Matches Played 33 16
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs ARUC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paranoa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

ARUC Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranoa 34 / 100
ARUC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranoa ARUC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: ARUC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Paranoa found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

ARUC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Paranoa VS ARUC
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranoa

(Home)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
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ARUC

(Away)
28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4
Real Brasilia
21 Feb
Gama
2 : 0
ARUC
12 Feb
ARUC
0 : 3
Samambaia
08 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
ARUC
31 Jan
ARUC
0 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)