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Paranoa vs Brasilia FC (DF) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek (JK), Paranoá
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Match Events

86' Event
da Silva R.

AI Match Summary

Paranoa in this Brasiliense matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paranoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Paranoa
15%
Draws
42%
Brasilia FC (DF)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paranoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paranoa lately — more wins on the board than Brasilia FC (DF).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Brasilia FC (DF) taking it.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 10%
Brasilia FC (DF) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranoa Brasilia FC (DF)
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.29 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Brasilia FC (DF)
1:0
Feb 4, 2023 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Brasilia FC (DF)
2:1
Feb 9, 2022 Brasiliense
Brasilia FC (DF) vs Paranoa
1:0
Feb 12, 2017 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Brasilia FC (DF)
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paranoa Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Brasilia FC (DF) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranoa 18 / 100
Brasilia FC (DF) 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranoa Brasilia FC (DF)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasilia FC (DF) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paranoa's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Brasilia FC (DF) let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Brasilia FC (DF)'s recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paranoa VS Brasilia FC (DF)
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranoa

(Home)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
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Brasilia FC (DF)

(Away)
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
12 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
1 : 3
Capital
07 Feb
Samambaia
4 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
31 Jan
ARUC
0 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)