Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Brasiliense 2024 game between Paranoa and Santa Maria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paranoa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Paranoa come out ahead of Santa Maria on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Paranoa's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Paranoa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paranoa | Santa Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paranoa Compare
Santa Maria Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Maria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Away concern: Santa Maria has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Paranoa scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Paranoa
(Home)Santa Maria
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Ceilandia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Gama | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 4 | Brasiliense | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15:6 | 19 |
| 5 | Paranoa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 7 | Samambaia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:13 | 7 |
| 8 | Ceilandense | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 9 | Planaltina | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | 4 |
| 10 | Santa Maria | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:28 | 3 |
