Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paraty vs 7 de Abril

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Paraty Logo

Paraty

1 - 1
FT
7 de Abril Logo

7 de Abril

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
De Oliveira Casanova M.
37' Event
Moreno Y.
45'
Mathias C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Paraty
15%
Draws
85%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 7 de Abril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • 7 de Abril haven't matched Paraty's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans 7 de Abril's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Paraty Clean Sheet 11%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraty 7 de Abril
Matches Played 28 23
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Paraty
1:0
Oct 20, 2025 Carioca B2
Paraty vs 7 de Abril
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraty Compare

Top Goalscorer De Oliveira Casanova M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

7 de Abril Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraty 10 / 100
7 de Abril 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraty 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 de Abril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraty found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

7 de Abril let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

7 de Abril's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraty VS 7 de Abril
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraty

(Home)
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
09 Nov
Goytacaz
3 : 2
Paraty
Page 1 of 6

7 de Abril

(Away)
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)