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Paraty vs 7 de Abril

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
De Oliveira Casanova M.
37' Event
Moreno Y.
45'
Mathias C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Paraty
44%
Draws
20%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • 7 de Abril haven't matched Paraty's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Paraty Clean Sheet 22%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraty 7 de Abril
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2025 Carioca B2
Paraty vs 7 de Abril
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraty Compare

Top Goalscorer De Oliveira Casanova M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

7 de Abril Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraty 37 / 100
7 de Abril 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraty 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 D Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraty found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

7 de Abril let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Paraty stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraty VS 7 de Abril
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraty

(Home)
09 Nov
Goytacaz
3 : 2
Paraty
06 Nov
Paraty
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
26 Oct
Barra Mansa
1 : 2
Paraty
20 Oct
Paraty
1 : 1
7 de Abril
12 Oct
Serra Macaense
2 : 2
Paraty
Page 1 of 6

7 de Abril

(Away)
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
02 Nov
Goytacaz
2 : 1
7 de Abril
27 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
20 Oct
Paraty
1 : 1
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz RJ871014:322
2Belford Roxo851217:816
3Goytacaz851213:816
4Macae841313:513
5Serra Macaense83419:713
6Paraty82249:108
77 de Abril822411:138
8FC Rio de Janeiro81077:253
9Barra Mansa80264:182
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)