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Paraty vs Belford Roxo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Paraty Logo

Paraty

0 - 1
FT
Belford Roxo Logo

Belford Roxo

Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Douglas Cae
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belford Roxo in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belford Roxo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Paraty
30%
Draws
70%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belford Roxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paraty lately — more wins on the board than Belford Roxo.
  • Belford Roxo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Paraty Clean Sheet 11%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraty Belford Roxo
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Carioca B2
Paraty vs Belford Roxo
0:4
Oct 6, 2025 Carioca B2
Paraty vs Belford Roxo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraty Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Belford Roxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Cae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraty 18 / 100
Belford Roxo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraty Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belford Roxo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraty scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Belford Roxo has conceded goals in 60% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Belford Roxo's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraty VS Belford Roxo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraty

(Home)
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

Belford Roxo

(Away)
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)