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Paraty vs Riostrense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2024
Paraty Logo

Paraty

0 - 3
FT
Riostrense Logo

Riostrense

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Quintao V.
68' Event
Fernando L.
71' Event
Fernando L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Riostrense in this Carioca C 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riostrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Paraty
20%
Draws
80%
Riostrense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Riostrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Riostrense average 1.74 goals a game right now, well clear of Paraty's 1.41.
  • Model gives Riostrense a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Paraty Clean Sheet 16%
Riostrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraty Riostrense
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Carioca C
Paraty vs Riostrense
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 Carioca C
Paraty vs Riostrense
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraty Compare

Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Riostrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernando L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quintao V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraty 10 / 100
Riostrense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraty Riostrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riostrense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraty scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Riostrense conceded in 74% of 23 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Riostrense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraty VS Riostrense
1 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 6
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraty

(Home)
05 Oct
Paraty
0 : 4
FC Rio de Janeiro
01 Oct
Buzios
3 : 2
Paraty
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
Page 1 of 7

Riostrense

(Away)
28 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
6 : 2
Riostrense
24 Aug
Riostrense
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
10 Aug
Riostrense
1 : 1
Uniao Central
03 Aug
Juventus RJ
1 : 1
Riostrense
27 Jul
Riostrense
6 : 1
Caac Brazil
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 9 8 0 1 24:3 24
2 EC Vera Cruz 9 6 2 1 16:4 20
3 Uni Souza 9 6 2 1 14:2 20
4 Campos AA 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
5 Rio Barra 9 4 2 3 9:10 14
6 Uniao Central 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
7 Santa Cruz RJ 9 2 2 5 9:19 8
8 Riostrense 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Caac Brazil 9 1 1 7 6:19 4
10 Paraty 9 0 1 8 5:19 1
Promotion - Carioca C 2024 (Play Offs)