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Paraty vs Riostrense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Paraty Logo

Paraty

1 - 2
FT
Riostrense Logo

Riostrense

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Machado A.
29' Event
Ringuissai F.
50'
Lucas Ribeiro
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between Paraty and Riostrense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riostrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Paraty
35%
Draws
32%
Riostrense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paraty come out ahead of Riostrense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Paraty a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Paraty Clean Sheet 17%
Riostrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraty Riostrense
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Carioca C
Paraty vs Riostrense
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 Carioca C
Paraty vs Riostrense
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraty Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.1

Riostrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ringuissai F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraty 41 / 100
Riostrense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraty Riostrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraty found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Riostrense conceded in 74% of 23 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Paraty went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraty VS Riostrense
2 Goals Scored 2.2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraty

(Home)
09 Nov
Goytacaz
3 : 2
Paraty
06 Nov
Paraty
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
26 Oct
Barra Mansa
1 : 2
Paraty
20 Oct
Paraty
1 : 1
7 de Abril
12 Oct
Serra Macaense
2 : 2
Paraty
Page 1 of 7

Riostrense

(Away)
28 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
6 : 2
Riostrense
24 Aug
Riostrense
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
10 Aug
Riostrense
1 : 1
Uniao Central
03 Aug
Juventus RJ
1 : 1
Riostrense
27 Jul
Riostrense
6 : 1
Caac Brazil
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)