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Paraty vs Uniao Central

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca C 2025 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Paraty
15%
Draws
85%
Uniao Central
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Central have won more games recently than Paraty.
  • Win probability leans Uniao Central's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Uniao Central arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Paraty Clean Sheet 10%
Uniao Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraty Uniao Central
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2025 Carioca C
Paraty vs Uniao Central
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Paraty
2:2
Jul 23, 2025 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Paraty
0:4
Jul 1, 2024 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Paraty
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraty 26 / 100
Uniao Central 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraty Uniao Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Central Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Central's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Paraty scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Central's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraty VS Uniao Central
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraty

(Home)
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

Uniao Central

(Away)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Paraty 2
Uniao Central 2
Santa Cruz RJ 9
Riostrense 3
Final
Paraty 3
Santa Cruz RJ 2