Sport Picks
Parauapebas vs Gaviao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Paraense A3 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Parauapebas have averaged 0.81 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Gaviao's 1.04 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Gaviao slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.79, favoring Gaviao. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Gaviao carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Parauapebas a 36% chance of winning this.
- Gaviao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gaviao, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Parauapebas | Gaviao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 23 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Parauapebas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Parauapebas scored in 63% of their last 27 games.
Gaviao let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
