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Parauapebas vs Paysandu PA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paraense 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cassiano
89' Event
Fabio Matos
90' Event
Gilberto

AI Match Summary

Paysandu PA in this Campeonato Paraense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paysandu PA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Parauapebas
35%
Draws
20%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Parauapebas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu PA have won more games recently than Parauapebas.
  • Parauapebas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato Paraense 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Paysandu PA have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Parauapebas Clean Sheet 20%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parauapebas Paysandu PA
Matches Played 27 43
Wins 5 24
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.81 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2018 Paraense
Parauapebas vs Paysandu PA
1:2
Jan 17, 2018 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Parauapebas
1:0
Mar 20, 2016 Paraense
Parauapebas vs Paysandu PA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parauapebas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilberto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassiano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabio Matos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parauapebas 76 / 100
Paysandu PA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parauapebas Paysandu PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parauapebas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parauapebas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Parauapebas scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Paysandu PA conceded in 70% of 43 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Parauapebas VS Paysandu PA
1 Goals Scored 1
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.63
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Parauapebas

(Home)
03 Oct
Sport Belem
1 : 1
Parauapebas
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 0
Altamira
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
13 Sept
Altamira
1 : 2
Parauapebas
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Paysandu PA

(Away)
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
2 Bragantino PA 10 6 1 3 17:15 19
3 Independente 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
4 Aguia De Maraba 10 3 2 5 7:14 11
5 Cameta 10 0 4 6 10:18 4
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 10 7 1 2 17:9 22
2 Sao Raimundo PA 10 5 1 4 15:12 16
3 Castanhal 10 4 1 5 16:17 13
4 Paragominas 10 2 5 3 12:12 11
5 Parauapebas 10 1 5 4 9:13 8
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2018 (Play Offs)