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Paredes vs Aliados Lordelo

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
Paredes Logo

Paredes

3 - 1
FT
Aliados Lordelo Logo

Aliados Lordelo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paredes in this Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paredes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Paredes
15%
Draws
28%
Aliados Lordelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Paredes have won more games recently than Aliados Lordelo.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Paredes taking it.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Paredes Clean Sheet 20%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paredes Aliados Lordelo
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.65 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Paredes vs Aliados Lordelo
3:1
Nov 26, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs Paredes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paredes 85 / 100
Aliados Lordelo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paredes Aliados Lordelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paredes scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Aliados Lordelo has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Paredes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paredes VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paredes

(Home)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
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Aliados Lordelo

(Away)
10 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
1 : 3
SC Vianense
21 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
Aliados Lordelo
01 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
3 : 2
Manteigas
21 Oct
Aliados Lordelo
0 : 2
Oliveirense
16 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
2 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tondela 30 19 6 5 49:22 63
2 SC Espinho 30 19 5 6 50:32 62
3 Operario 30 15 7 8 34:26 52
4 Boavista 30 15 5 10 43:31 50
5 Amarante FC 30 13 10 7 48:30 49
6 Sao Joao de Ver 30 15 4 11 43:46 49
7 Gondomar 30 13 5 12 27:31 44
8 Cinfaes 30 12 7 11 35:40 43
9 Coimbroes 30 9 15 6 30:31 42
10 Anadia 30 11 7 12 45:42 40
11 Padroense 30 11 6 13 47:50 39
12 Aliados Lordelo 30 10 7 13 41:40 37
13 Oliv. Bairro 30 7 7 16 34:50 28
14 SC Angrense 30 5 8 17 36:49 23
15 Paredes 30 6 5 19 30:50 23
16 FC Madalena 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)