Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paredes vs Atletico Arcos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Moreno M. A.
45' Event
Gomes H.
57'
Gomes R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between Paredes and Atletico Arcos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Paredes
15%
Draws
7%
Atletico Arcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paredes come out ahead of Atletico Arcos on wins alone.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Paredes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paredes Atletico Arcos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.52 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs Atletico Arcos
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Atletico Arcos vs Paredes
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paredes Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atletico Arcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paredes 95 / 100
Atletico Arcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paredes Atletico Arcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arcos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Paredes found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Paredes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paredes VS Atletico Arcos
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paredes

(Home)
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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Atletico Arcos

(Away)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
13 Apr
Paredes
1 : 1
Atletico Arcos
05 Apr
Atletico Arcos
1 : 3
AD Limianos
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Brito
3 : 1
Atletico Arcos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)