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Paredes vs GD Joane

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ferreira P.
32' Event
Ze Thiago
43' Event
Pedro J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between Paredes and GD Joane finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paredes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Paredes
15%
Draws
21%
GD Joane
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paredes come out ahead of GD Joane on wins alone.
  • Model gives Paredes a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paredes GD Joane
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.85 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs Paredes
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs GD Joane
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paredes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ze Thiago
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

GD Joane Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paredes 95 / 100
GD Joane 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paredes GD Joane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Joane has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Paredes scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

Paredes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paredes VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paredes

(Home)
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
Paredes
Page 1 of 8

GD Joane

(Away)
13 Apr
Brito
2 : 1
GD Joane
06 Apr
GD Joane
0 : 3
GD Braganca
29 Mar
Vitoria Guimaraes B
3 : 2
GD Joane
16 Mar
GD Joane
2 : 1
Rebordosa
08 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 0
GD Joane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)