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Paredes vs Sao Joao de Ver - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Carvalho D. In: Erik
Out: Carvalho D.
46'
Sub
Macedo Z. In: Santos Outeiro D.
Out: Macedo Z.
62'
Sub
Barbosa D. In: Campas T.
Out: Barbosa D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Paredes and Sao Joao de Ver finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Paredes
20%
Draws
11%
Sao Joao de Ver
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paredes come out ahead of Sao Joao de Ver on wins alone.
  • Model gives Paredes a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paredes Sao Joao de Ver
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.72 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Paredes
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs Paredes
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 3
Paredes vs Sao Joao de Ver
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Sao Joao de Ver vs Paredes
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paredes 95 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paredes Sao Joao de Ver

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paredes scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sao Joao de Ver has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Paredes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paredes VS Sao Joao de Ver
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paredes

(Home)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
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Sao Joao de Ver

(Away)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3
AD Fafe
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