Sport Picks
Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes 
Match Events
3'
3'
Almara F.
Assist: Vigario J.
7'
7'
Rodrigo Silva
21'
21'
Braga G.
AI Match Summary
Paredes in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paredes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paredes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paredes lately — more wins on the board than Vitoria Guimaraes B.
- Model gives Paredes a 56% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paredes | Vitoria Guimaraes B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Paredes
1:3
Sep 24, 2025 Liga 3
Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:1
May 18, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Paredes
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paredes Compare
Top Goalscorer Almara F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Duarte D. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare
Top Goalscorer Tepe M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paredes 95 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paredes Vitoria Guimaraes B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paredes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Paredes's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Vitoria Guimaraes B let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Paredes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Paredes VS Vitoria Guimaraes B
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Paredes
(Home) 20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1 Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1 Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3 Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1 Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2 Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B
(Away) 12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes B
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0 Trofense
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes B
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
25 Jul
Chaves
2 : 3 Vitoria Guimaraes B
09 May
Trofense
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Santarem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
