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Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Sovcombank Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Lesovoy D.
40'
Kalinski N.
42'
Sub
Cephas R. In: Grulev V.
Out: Cephas R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Pari Nizhny Novgorod and CSKA Moscow finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6%
Draws
4%
CSKA Moscow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Moscow come out ahead of Pari Nizhny Novgorod on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pari Nizhny Novgorod a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CSKA Moscow here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 68%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pari Nizhny Novgorod CSKA Moscow
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2:0
May 24, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2:0
Oct 13, 2024 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2:2
Oct 1, 2024 Russian Cup
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesovoy D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

CSKA Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Firov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 95 / 100
CSKA Moscow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pari Nizhny Novgorod CSKA Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PNN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Moscow has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Pari Nizhny Novgorod scored in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Pari Nizhny Novgorod remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pari Nizhny Novgorod VS CSKA Moscow
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit St Petersburg30208253:1968
2Krasnodar30206460:2366
3Lokomotiv Moscow301411554:3953
4Spartak Moscow30157847:3952
5CSKA Moscow30156944:3351
6Baltika301113638:2146
7Dynamo Moscow30129951:4045
8Rubin Kazan301110929:3043
9Akhmat Grozny309101135:3937
10FK Rostov30891325:3233
11Krylya Sovetov Samara30881435:5032
12Orenburg30781529:4429
13Akron Togliatti30691535:5327
14Dynamo Makhachkala305111419:3726
15Pari Nizhny Novgorod30651926:5023
16PFC Sochi30642029:6022