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Paris 13 Atletico vs Bastia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Charlety, Paris
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Dode E.
Penalty Missed
37' Event
Guendez M.
Assist: Donat N.
41'
Donat N.

AI Match Summary

Paris 13 Atletico in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paris 13 Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Paris 13 Atletico
35%
Draws
32%
Bastia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bastia have won more games recently than Paris 13 Atletico.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Paris 13 Atletico Clean Sheet 68%
Bastia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paris 13 Atletico Bastia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Bastia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paris 13 Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Guendez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bastia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paris 13 Atletico 41 / 100
Bastia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paris 13 Atletico Bastia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris 13 Atletico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paris 13 Atletico scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Bastia let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Paris 13 Atletico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Paris 13 Atletico VS Bastia
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paris 13 Atletico

(Home)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

Bastia

(Away)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)